On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions
Loading...
Date
2023-11
Open Access Location
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Elsevier Inc
Rights
(c) 2023 The Author/s
CC BY 4.0
CC BY 4.0
Abstract
A preregistered meta-analysis, including 244 effect sizes from 85 field audits and 361,645 individual job applications, tested for gender bias in hiring practices in female-stereotypical and gender-balanced as well as male-stereotypical jobs from 1976 to 2020. A “red team” of independent experts was recruited to increase the rigor and robustness of our meta-analytic approach. A forecasting survey further examined whether laypeople (n = 499 nationally representative adults) and scientists (n = 312) could predict the results. Forecasters correctly anticipated reductions in discrimination against female candidates over time. However, both scientists and laypeople overestimated the continuation of bias against female candidates. Instead, selection bias in favor of male over female candidates was eliminated and, if anything, slightly reversed in sign starting in 2009 for mixed-gender and male-stereotypical jobs in our sample. Forecasters further failed to anticipate that discrimination against male candidates for stereotypically female jobs would remain stable across the decades.
Description
Keywords
Gender Discrimination, Field experiments, Meta-analysis, Open science, Forecasting
Citation
Schaerer M, Plessis CD, Nguyen MHB, Aert RCMV, Tiokhin L, Lakens D, Clemente EG, Pfeiffer T, Dreber A, Johannesson M, Clark CJ, Uhlmann EL, Abraham AT, Adamus M, Akinci C, Alberti F, Alsharawy AM, Alzahawi S, Anseel F, Arndt F, Balkan B, Baskin E, Bearden CE, Benotsch EG, Bernritter S, Black SR, Bleidorn W, Boysen AP, Brienza JP, Brown M, Brown SEV, Brown JW, Buckley J, Buttliere B, Byrd N, Cígler H, Capitan T, Cherubini P, Chong SY, Ciftci EE, Conrad CD, Conway P, Costa E, Cox JA, Cox DJ, Cruz F, Dawson IGJ, Demiral EE, Derrick JL, Doshi S, Dunleavy DJ, Durham JD, Elbaek CT, Ellis DA, Ert E, Espinoza MP, Füllbrunn SC, Fath S, Furrer R, Fiala L, Fillon AA, Forsgren M, Fytraki AT, Galarza FB, Gandhi L, Garrison SM, Geraldes D, Ghasemi O, Gjoneska B, Gothilander J, Grühn D, Grieder M, Hafenbr¨adl S, Halkias G, Hancock R, Hantula DA, Harton HC, Hoffmann CP, Holzmeister F, Hoŕak F, Hosch AK, Imada H, Ioannidis K, Jaeger B, Janas M, Janik B, Kc RP, Keel PK, Keeley JW, Keller L, Kenrick DT, Kiely KM, Knutsson M, Kovacheva A, Kovera MB, Krivoshchekov V, Krumrei-Mancuso EJ, Kulibert D, Lacko D, Lemay EP. (2023). On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 179.