A threshold model to determine the association between race rides and fall risk for early career (apprentice) jockeys.
| dc.citation.volume | In Press, Corrected Proof | |
| dc.contributor.author | Legg KA | |
| dc.contributor.author | Cochrane DJ | |
| dc.contributor.author | Gee EK | |
| dc.contributor.author | Rogers CW | |
| dc.coverage.spatial | Australia | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2024-12-05T19:38:14Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2024-12-05T19:38:14Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2024-10-31 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Objectives To identify descriptors associated with success in apprentice jockeys and to determine optimum numbers of jockeys for safer race riding. Design Retrospective cohort study. Methods Incidence-rates for jockey falls and success (wins per 1,000 race-starts), time and number of races spent at different apprentice levels were calculated for 807 apprentice and professional jockeys over 19 years of Thoroughbred flat racing in New Zealand (n = 524,551 race-starts). Survival analysis was used to compare career progression for jockeys that fell and those that did not, and individual seasonal fall incidence-rates were modelled. Results Apprentices had the highest fall incidence-rate in their first year of race riding (2.4, interquartile range 1.7–3.2 vs 1.1, interquartile range 1.0–1.2, p < 0.05) and a lower success incidence-rate compared to non-apprentice jockeys (71, interquartile range 67–75 vs 97 interquartile range 96–98, p < 0.05). Jockeys who fell during their apprenticeship rode in more race rides to progress towards professional status than those who did not. There was an inverse power relationship between fall incidence-rate and race rides per season for jockeys, with the inflection point at 33 rides per season. Half (48 %) of the jockeys rode fewer than 33 rides per season. Conclusions There is a surplus number of jockeys, riding at high fall risk, produced than is required by the number of race riding opportunities. Greater investment into the fitness, education and selection of a smaller cohort of dedicated apprentices, may be beneficial to reduce the risk of early career fall or injury in jockeys and requires further investigation. | |
| dc.description.confidential | false | |
| dc.format.pagination | S1440-2440(24)00554-1- | |
| dc.identifier.author-url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39532552 | |
| dc.identifier.citation | Legg KA, Cochrane DJ, Gee EK, Rogers CW. (2024). A threshold model to determine the association between race rides and fall risk for early career (apprentice) jockeys.. J Sci Med Sport. In Press, Corrected Proof. (pp. S1440-2440(24)00554-1-). | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.jsams.2024.10.009 | |
| dc.identifier.eissn | 1878-1861 | |
| dc.identifier.elements-type | journal-article | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1440-2440 | |
| dc.identifier.pii | S1440-2440(24)00554-1 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/72212 | |
| dc.language | eng | |
| dc.publisher | Elsevier B.V. | |
| dc.publisher.uri | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1440244024005541 | |
| dc.relation.isPartOf | J Sci Med Sport | |
| dc.rights | (c) 2024 The Author/s | |
| dc.rights | CC BY 4.0 | |
| dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | |
| dc.subject | Equestrian | |
| dc.subject | Fitness | |
| dc.subject | Injury | |
| dc.subject | Jockey falls | |
| dc.subject | Jockey/rider | |
| dc.subject | Thoroughbred horse racing | |
| dc.title | A threshold model to determine the association between race rides and fall risk for early career (apprentice) jockeys. | |
| dc.type | Journal article | |
| pubs.elements-id | 492273 | |
| pubs.organisational-group | College of Health |