Development of LIME-NZ: a generic tool for prompt estimation of economic impacts of disease for New Zealand livestock.

Simple item page
dc.citation.issue2
dc.citation.volume72
dc.contributor.authorWada M
dc.contributor.authorCompton C
dc.contributor.authorHickson R
dc.contributor.authorBingham P
dc.coverage.spatialEngland
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-24T01:54:17Z
dc.date.available2024-07-24T01:54:17Z
dc.date.issued2024-02-04
dc.description.abstractAIMS: To develop a simple and robust generic tool to measure the impacts of livestock diseases on New Zealand dairy, beef and sheep farms using enterprise gross margin models. METHODS: The most recent (2018-2020) livestock production benchmarking data was extracted from industry-led economic surveys. Gross margin models were built for each enterprise type, accounting for 11 dairy farm types and 16 farm types for beef and sheep. Disease parameters, including changes in mortality, reproduction performance, milk yield, price of animals and culling rate, as well as additional expenses for veterinary intervention, were applied to the infected compartment of the herd/flock using the assumed annual within-herd disease incidence. Farm-level disease impacts were estimated as the difference in annual profit between the baseline and infected farm. The baseline gross margin models were validated against the industry data. The disease impact models were validated using a recently published study on bovine viral diarrhoea (BVD). The impact assessment tool, LIME-NZ, was developed using the statistical software R and implemented in the web-based R package Shiny. The input parameters can be varied interactively to obtain a range of disease impacts for uncertain disease parameters. RESULTS: The baseline gross margin models demonstrated reasonable accuracy with a mean percentage error of <14% when compared with the industry reports. The estimated annual impacts of BVD were comparable to those reported in the BVD study, NZ$38.5-140.4 thousand and $0.9-32.6 thousand per farm per year for dairy and beef enterprises, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LIME-NZ can be used to rapidly obtain the likely economic impacts of diseases that are endemic, recently introduced or at increased risk of introduction in the New Zealand context. This will aid communication and decision-making among government agencies and the livestock industry, including veterinarians and livestock producers, about the management of diseases, until refined information becomes available to improve decision-making.
dc.description.confidentialfalse
dc.edition.edition2024
dc.format.pagination79-89
dc.identifier.author-urlhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38252956
dc.identifier.citationWada M, Compton C, Hickson R, Bingham P. (2024). Development of LIME-NZ: a generic tool for prompt estimation of economic impacts of disease for New Zealand livestock.. N Z Vet J. 72. 2. (pp. 79-89).
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/00480169.2023.2294792
dc.identifier.eissn1176-0710
dc.identifier.elements-typejournal-article
dc.identifier.issn0048-0169
dc.identifier.urihttps://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/70307
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherTaylor and Francis Group
dc.publisher.urihttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00480169.2023.2294792
dc.relation.isPartOfN Z Vet J
dc.rights(c) The author/sen
dc.rights.licenseCC BY-NC-NDen
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en
dc.subjectEconomic analysis
dc.subjectdecision-making tool
dc.subjectenterprise gross margin
dc.subjectlivestock disease
dc.subjectpartial budget
dc.subjectCattle
dc.subjectAnimals
dc.subjectSheep
dc.subjectLivestock
dc.subjectNew Zealand
dc.subjectFarms
dc.subjectReproduction
dc.subjectDairying
dc.subjectOxides
dc.subjectCalcium Compounds
dc.titleDevelopment of LIME-NZ: a generic tool for prompt estimation of economic impacts of disease for New Zealand livestock.
dc.typeJournal article
pubs.elements-id485953
pubs.organisational-groupOther
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