Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health

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dc.citation.issue1975
dc.citation.volume289
dc.contributor.authorMuylaert RL
dc.contributor.authorKingston T
dc.contributor.authorLuo J
dc.contributor.authorVancine MH
dc.contributor.authorGalli N
dc.contributor.authorCarlson CJ
dc.contributor.authorJohn RS
dc.contributor.authorRulli MC
dc.contributor.authorHayman DTS
dc.coverage.spatialEngland
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-19T00:37:52Z
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-25T06:32:13Z
dc.date.available2022-05-25
dc.date.available2024-01-19T00:37:52Z
dc.date.available2024-07-25T06:32:13Z
dc.date.issued2022-05-25
dc.description.abstractGlobal changes in response to human encroachment into natural habitats and carbon emissions are driving the biodiversity extinction crisis and increasing disease emergence risk. Host distributions are one critical component to identify areas at risk of viral spillover, and bats act as reservoirs of diverse viruses. We developed a reproducible ecological niche modelling pipeline for bat hosts of SARS-like viruses (subgenus Sarbecovirus), given that several closely related viruses have been discovered and sarbecovirus-host interactions have gained attention since SARS-CoV-2 emergence. We assessed sampling biases and modelled current distributions of bats based on climate and landscape relationships and project future scenarios for host hotspots. The most important predictors of species distributions were temperature seasonality and cave availability. We identified concentrated host hotspots in Myanmar and projected range contractions for most species by 2100. Our projections indicate hotspots will shift east in Southeast Asia in locations greater than 2°C hotter in a fossil-fuelled development future. Hotspot shifts have implications for conservation and public health, as loss of population connectivity can lead to local extinctions, and remaining hotspots may concentrate near human populations.
dc.description.confidentialfalse
dc.format.pagination20220397-
dc.identifier.author-urlhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35611534
dc.identifier.citationMuylaert RL, Kingston T, Luo J, Vancine MH, Galli N, Carlson CJ, John RS, Rulli MC, Hayman DTS. (2022). Present and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health.. Proc Biol Sci. 289. 1975. (pp. 20220397-).
dc.identifier.doi10.1098/rspb.2022.0397
dc.identifier.eissn1471-2954
dc.identifier.elements-typejournal-article
dc.identifier.issn0962-8452
dc.identifier.number2022.0397
dc.identifier.urihttps://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/70372
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherThe Royal Society
dc.publisher.urihttps://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2022.0397
dc.relation.isPartOfProc Biol Sci
dc.rights(c) 2022 The Author/s
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectSARS-like coronavirus
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectdiversity
dc.subjectecological niche models
dc.subjectforecasting
dc.subjectAnimals
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectChiroptera
dc.subjectHumans
dc.subjectPublic Health
dc.subjectSARS-CoV-2
dc.subjectViruses
dc.titlePresent and future distribution of bat hosts of sarbecoviruses: implications for conservation and public health
dc.typeJournal article
massey.identifier.uri-duplicatehttps://hdl.handle.net/10179/71071
pubs.elements-id453500
pubs.organisational-groupOther
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